Nathan Fletcher vs Paulo Victor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'2"
70"Reach-
145 lbsWeight129 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamNauas Combat
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nathan FletcherPaulo Victor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paulo Victor52%
Nathan Fletcher 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paulo Victor a 52% favorite over Nathan Fletcher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nathan Fletcher's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1651), separated by just 2 points.
Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nathan Fletcher finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Victor 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.