Combat Edge Intelligence

Nathan Trepagnier vs Ramsey Nijem

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-6-0Record10-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
67" ReachTBD
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Academy of Martial ArtsTeamSkrap Pack

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nathan TrepagnierNow 1505
If they win+16→ 1521
If they lose-16→ 1489
Ramsey NijemNow 1508
If they win+16→ 1524
If they lose-16→ 1492

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.05
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.32
TBD
Takedown accuracy
63%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Nathan TrepagnierRamsey Nijem
15002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (20%)
2 (40%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Trepagnier66%
Ramsey Nijem 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Trepagnier a 66% favorite over Ramsey Nijem in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ramsey Nijem's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1505 vs 1508), separated by just 3 points.

Ramsey Nijem enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Nathan Trepagnier finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ramsey Nijem 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.