Combat Edge Intelligence

Nayara Arnault Maia Correia vs Tereza Bledá

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-1Record7-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
BH RhinosTeamReinders MMA· 1602 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nayara Arnault Maia CorreiaNow 1617
If they win+24→ 1641
If they lose-24→ 1593
Tereza BledáNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.02
36%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.86
44%
Strike defense
47%
1
Takedown avg.
1.81
33%
Takedown accuracy
28%
0%
Takedown defense
83%
1
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Nayara Arnault Maia CorreiaTereza Bledá
155016001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (29%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Tereza Bledá59%
Nayara Arnault Maia Correia 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tereza Bledá a 59% favorite over Nayara Arnault Maia Correia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1622), separated by just 5 points.

Nayara Arnault Maia Correia finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tereza Bledá 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.