Combat Edge Intelligence

Nazareno Malegarie vs Nurullo Aliev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-6-1Record11-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team TavaresTeamKaizen MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nazareno MalegarieNow 1717
If they win+12→ 1729
If they lose-12→ 1705
Nurullo AlievNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
35%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.63
70%
Strike defense
58%
1
Takedown avg.
2.12
33%
Takedown accuracy
19%
0%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Nazareno MalegarieNurullo Aliev
17001750201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
17 (59%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (24%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurullo Aliev72%
Nazareno Malegarie 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 72% favorite over Nazareno Malegarie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nazareno Malegarie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1715), separated by just 2 points.

Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Nazareno Malegarie finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 18%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.