Combat Edge Intelligence

Neal Ewing vs Sedriques Dumas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neal Ewing
us

Neal Ewing

“No Problem”

6-0-0MiddleweightBFC

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Octagon MMATeamTeam Remedy BJJ & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Neal EwingNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Sedriques DumasNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.34
TBD
Takedown accuracy
32%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Neal EwingSedriques Dumas
155016001650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (50%)
Submission
2 (20%)
1 (17%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Sedriques Dumas60%
Neal Ewing 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sedriques Dumas a 60% favorite over Neal Ewing in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.

Neal Ewing enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Sedriques Dumas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Neal Ewing finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Sedriques Dumas 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.