Combat Edge Intelligence

Neil Magny vs Phil Rowe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Magny
us

Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation”

31-14-0WelterweightUFC

1758Great
Phil Rowe
us

Phil Rowe

“The Fresh Prince”

11-7-0WelterweightUFC

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

31-14-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'3"
80"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFusion X-Cel Performance

What's at stake

Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Phil Rowe carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Neil MagnyNow 1758
If they win+8→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1742
Phil RoweNow 1637
If they win+21→ 1658
If they lose-11→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
47%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
52%
Strike defense
52%
2.17
Takedown avg.
0.52
25%
Takedown accuracy
36%
55%
Takedown defense
50%
0.27
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Neil MagnyPhil Rowe
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (29%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
5 (16%)
Submission
4 (36%)
17 (55%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Neil Magny66%
Phil Rowe 34%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 66% favorite over Phil Rowe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1637, a 121-point edge.

Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Neil Magny finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.

Neil Magny and Phil Rowe share 1 common opponent: Jake Matthews.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2025
Jake Matthews
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024