Neil Magny vs Rafael dos Anjos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record32-17-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height5'8"
80"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamRDA Academy
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rafael dos Anjos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1744
If they win+14→ 1727
If they lose-10→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Neil MagnyRafael dos Anjos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny79%
Rafael dos Anjos 21%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 79% favorite over Rafael dos Anjos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1713, a 45-point edge.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Neil Magny finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.
Neil Magny carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.