Neil Magny vs Robbie Lawler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record30-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
80"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Robbie Lawler is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Neil Magny carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1781
If they lose-11→ 1757
If they win+11→ 1799
If they lose-13→ 1775
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1760 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Neil MagnyRobbie Lawler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny72%
Robbie Lawler 28%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 72% favorite over Robbie Lawler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Robbie Lawler's way (47%).
Robbie Lawler holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1768, a 20-point edge.
Neil Magny finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Lawler 77%.
Neil Magny carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.