Neil Magny vs Rodrigo de Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record9-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'9"
80"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamCoalizao Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Rodrigo de Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+4→ 1762
If they lose-20→ 1738
If they win+40→ 1508
If they lose-8→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Neil MagnyRodrigo de Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny84%
Rodrigo de Lima 16%Elo baseline: 84%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 84% favorite over Rodrigo de Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (84%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1468, a 290-point edge.
Rodrigo de Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Neil Magny finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo de Lima 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.