Neil Magny vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record30-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
80"Reach73″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Santiago Ponzinibbio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1744
If they win+14→ 1726
If they lose-10→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Neil MagnySantiago Ponzinibbio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny70%
Santiago Ponzinibbio 30%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 70% favorite over Santiago Ponzinibbio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1712, a 46-point edge.
Neil Magny finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.
Neil Magny and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 1 common opponent: Daniel Rodriguez.
Neil Magny carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.