Neil Magny vs Sergio Moraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record14-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
80"Reach72,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamBrazilian TKO
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Sergio Moraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1742
If they win+21→ 1662
If they lose-11→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Neil MagnySergio Moraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny79%
Sergio Moraes 21%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 79% favorite over Sergio Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1641, a 117-point edge.
Sergio Moraes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Neil Magny finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Moraes 64%.
Neil Magny carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.