Neil Magny vs Seth Baczynski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record21-16-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
80"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamPower MMA Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Seth Baczynski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1764
If they lose-18→ 1740
If they win+18→ 1572
If they lose-6→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Neil MagnySeth Baczynski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny89%
Seth Baczynski 11%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 89% favorite over Seth Baczynski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1554, a 204-point edge.
Seth Baczynski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Neil Magny finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Seth Baczynski 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.