Neil Magny vs Shavkat Rakhmonov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record19-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'1"
80"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamKazakhstan Top Team
What's at stake
Shavkat Rakhmonov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Neil Magny carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1783
If they lose-9→ 1759
If they win+12→ 1867
If they lose-20→ 1835
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Neil MagnyShavkat Rakhmonov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shavkat Rakhmonov75%
Neil Magny 25%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Shavkat Rakhmonov a 75% favorite over Neil Magny in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Shavkat Rakhmonov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1855 to 1768, a 87-point edge.
Shavkat Rakhmonov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Neil Magny finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Shavkat Rakhmonov 95%.
Neil Magny and Shavkat Rakhmonov share 1 common opponent: Ian Machado Garry.
Neil Magny carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.