Neil Magny vs William Macario
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
80"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamPejor
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — William Macario carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+4→ 1762
If they lose-20→ 1738
If they win+41→ 1503
If they lose-7→ 1455
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Neil MagnyWilliam Macario
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny78%
William Macario 22%Elo baseline: 85%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 78% favorite over William Macario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (85%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1462, a 296-point edge.
William Macario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Neil Magny finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, William Macario 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.