Nell Ariano vs Roland Dunlap
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record7-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach79"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
Platinum MMA Training CentreTeamRoufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
If they win+24→ 1632
If they lose-24→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nell ArianoRoland Dunlap
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nell Ariano54%
Roland Dunlap 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nell Ariano a 54% favorite over Roland Dunlap in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roland Dunlap's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1608), separated by just 2 points.
Nell Ariano finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Roland Dunlap 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.