Combat Edge Intelligence

Nell Ariano vs Yilizhati Maimaitijiang

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record7-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
-Reach78.7"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nell ArianoNow 1637
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
Yilizhati MaimaitijiangNow 1634
If they win+24→ 1658
If they lose-24→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nell ArianoYilizhati Maimaitijiang
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (29%)
2 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Nell Ariano and Yilizhati Maimaitijiang within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1634), separated by just 3 points.

Nell Ariano enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Nell Ariano finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Yilizhati Maimaitijiang 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.