Neto Lopes vs Reuben Duran
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record13-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamC-Quence Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Neto LopesReuben Duran
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neto Lopes54%
Reuben Duran 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Neto Lopes a 54% favorite over Reuben Duran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1586), separated by just 0 points.
Reuben Duran enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Neto Lopes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Reuben Duran 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.