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Combat Edge Intelligence

Neto Lopes vs Reuben Duran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Reuben Duran
us

Reuben Duran

“Hurricane”

13-7-1BantamweightKOTC

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record13-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamC-Quence Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Neto LopesNow 1585
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561
Reuben DuranNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.19
Not available
Strike accuracy
49%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.98
Not available
Takedown accuracy
23%
Not available
Takedown defense
25%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Neto LopesReuben Duran
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
1 (20%)
Submission
5 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Neto Lopes and Reuben Duran within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.

Reuben Duran enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Neto Lopes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Reuben Duran 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.