Combat Edge Intelligence

Neto Lopes vs Will Ribeiro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record10-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'8"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamBoxe Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Neto LopesNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
Will RibeiroNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
TBD
Strike accuracy
28%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
TBD
Strike defense
75%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.15
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.86

Trajectory

Neto LopesWill Ribeiro
1550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Neto Lopes60%
Will Ribeiro 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Neto Lopes a 60% favorite over Will Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1582), separated by just 4 points.

Neto Lopes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Will Ribeiro 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.