Combat Edge Intelligence

Niamh Kinehan vs Nichollas Pestilli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach-
130 lbsWeight135 lbs
Frank's GymTeamCorinthians MMA· 1605 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Niamh KinehanNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Nichollas PestilliNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Niamh KinehanNichollas Pestilli
150015502026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
1 (50%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Niamh Kinehan53%
Nichollas Pestilli 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Niamh Kinehan a 53% favorite over Nichollas Pestilli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nichollas Pestilli's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1555), separated by just 4 points.

Niamh Kinehan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nichollas Pestilli enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nichollas Pestilli 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.