Combat Edge Intelligence

Nicco Montano vs Roxanne Modafferi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record25-20-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fit NHBTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Roxanne Modafferi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nicco Montano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nicco MontanoNow 1536
If they win+26→ 1562
If they lose-22→ 1514
Roxanne ModafferiNow 1559
If they win+11→ 1570
If they lose-13→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.35
42%
Strike accuracy
31%
4.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.70
64%
Strike defense
51%
2.25
Takedown avg.
1.35
55%
Takedown accuracy
23%
69%
Takedown defense
30%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Nicco MontanoRoxanne Modafferi
15501600201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (16%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (20%)
2 (50%)
Decision
16 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicco Montano67%
Roxanne Modafferi 33%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicco Montano a 67% favorite over Roxanne Modafferi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roxanne Modafferi's way (47%).

Roxanne Modafferi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1559 to 1536, a 23-point edge.

Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Nicco Montano finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Roxanne Modafferi 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.