Combat Edge Intelligence

Nichollas Pestilli vs Valentyn Bulat

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record3-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"HeightTBD
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Corinthians MMA· 1605 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam

What's at stake

Valentyn Bulat is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Nichollas Pestilli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nichollas PestilliNow 1555
If they win+25→ 1580
If they lose-23→ 1532
Valentyn BulatNow 1571
If they win+23→ 1594
If they lose-25→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nichollas PestilliValentyn Bulat
15001550

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Submission
1 (33%)
1 (33%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Nichollas Pestilli56%
Valentyn Bulat 44%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Nichollas Pestilli a 56% favorite over Valentyn Bulat in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Valentyn Bulat's way (48%).

Valentyn Bulat holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1571 to 1555, a 16-point edge.

Nichollas Pestilli enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Valentyn Bulat enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Nichollas Pestilli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Valentyn Bulat 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.