Nick Aguirre vs Payton Talbott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record11-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
74,0"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Valle Flow StrikingTeamReno Academy of Combat
What's at stake
Payton Talbott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nick Aguirre carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1597
If they lose-9→ 1565
If they win+9→ 1751
If they lose-23→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nick AguirrePayton Talbott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Payton Talbott88%
Nick Aguirre 12%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Payton Talbott a 88% favorite over Nick Aguirre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Payton Talbott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1742 to 1574, a 168-point edge.
Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Payton Talbott enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nick Aguirre finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Payton Talbott 73%.
Nick Aguirre carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.