Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Aguirre vs Ray Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record16-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
74,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Valle Flow StrikingTeamOhana Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick AguirreNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Ray RodriguezNow 1575
If they win+12→ 1587
If they lose-12→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
0.90
34%
Strike accuracy
28%
2.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
46%
Strike defense
41%
1.16
Takedown avg.
1.42
20%
Takedown accuracy
50%
33%
Takedown defense
44%
0.58
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nick AguirreRay Rodriguez
1550160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
4 (57%)
Submission
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Aguirre57%
Ray Rodriguez 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Aguirre a 57% favorite over Ray Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ray Rodriguez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ray Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nick Aguirre finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ray Rodriguez 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.