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Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Aguirre vs Ronaldo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record11-6-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'4"
74,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Valle Flow Striking· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCarrasco Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick AguirreNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
Ronaldo OliveiraNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
46%
Strike defense
Not available
1.16
Takedown avg.
Not available
20%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.58
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Nick AguirreRonaldo Oliveira
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
4 (57%)
Submission
8 (73%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronaldo Oliveira53%
Nick Aguirre 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronaldo Oliveira a 53% favorite over Nick Aguirre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Aguirre's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1573), separated by just 0 points.

Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nick Aguirre finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Oliveira 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.