Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Aguirre vs Shinobu Ota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record8-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
74,0"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Valle Flow StrikingTeamThe Blackbelt Japan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick AguirreNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Shinobu OtaNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
1.16
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.58
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nick AguirreShinobu Ota
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Shinobu Ota71%
Nick Aguirre 29%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Shinobu Ota a 71% favorite over Nick Aguirre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Aguirre's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1568), separated by just 6 points.

Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nick Aguirre finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shinobu Ota 75%.

Nick Aguirre carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.