Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Aguirre vs Shinobu Ota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record8-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
74,0"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Valle Flow Striking· 1672 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1675 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick AguirreNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Shinobu OtaNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
46%
Strike defense
Not available
1.16
Takedown avg.
Not available
20%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.58
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Nick AguirreShinobu Ota
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Nick Aguirre and Shinobu Ota within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1574), separated by just 0 points.

Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nick Aguirre finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shinobu Ota 75%.

Nick Aguirre carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.