Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Aguirre vs Steven Graham

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record12-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
74,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Valle Flow StrikingTeamAmerica Top Team HD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick AguirreNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Steven GrahamNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
1.16
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.58
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nick AguirreSteven Graham
15501600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
4 (57%)
Submission
8 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Aguirre52%
Steven Graham 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Aguirre a 52% favorite over Steven Graham in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1572), separated by just 2 points.

Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nick Aguirre finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Steven Graham 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.