Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Aguirre vs Terrion Ware

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record18-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
74,0"Reach39,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Valle Flow StrikingTeamFight Science

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick AguirreNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Terrion WareNow 1571
If they win+12→ 1583
If they lose-12→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.02
34%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.07
46%
Strike defense
50%
1.16
Takedown avg.
0.50
20%
Takedown accuracy
22%
33%
Takedown defense
45%
0.58
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nick AguirreTerrion Ware
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
4 (57%)
Submission
4 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Aguirre60%
Terrion Ware 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Aguirre a 60% favorite over Terrion Ware in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1571), separated by just 3 points.

Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nick Aguirre finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Terrion Ware 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.