Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Catone vs Tim Credeur

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Nick Catone
us

Nick Catone

“The Jersey Devil”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1619Solid
Tim Credeur
us

Tim Credeur

“Crazy”

12-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1642Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Nick Catone MMA & FitnessTeamGladiators Academy

What's at stake

Tim Credeur is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nick Catone carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nick CatoneNow 1619
If they win+17→ 1636
If they lose-15→ 1604
Tim CredeurNow 1642
If they win+15→ 1657
If they lose-17→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
3.59
45%
Strike accuracy
31%
2.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
63%
Strike defense
58%
3.71
Takedown avg.
0.41
44%
Takedown accuracy
100%
83%
Takedown defense
50%
0.48
Submission avg.
3.29

Trajectory

Nick CatoneTim Credeur
160016501700200920102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
3 (30%)
Submission
8 (67%)
4 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Catone54%
Tim Credeur 46%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Catone a 54% favorite over Tim Credeur in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Credeur's way (47%).

Tim Credeur holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1619, a 23-point edge.

Tim Credeur enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nick Catone finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tim Credeur 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.