Nick Denis vs Olivier Poisson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record6-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Ronin MMATeamH2O MMA· 1644 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nick DenisOlivier Poisson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Olivier Poisson70%
Nick Denis 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Olivier Poisson a 70% favorite over Nick Denis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Denis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.
Olivier Poisson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Nick Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Olivier Poisson 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.