Nick Diaz vs Sean Sherk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record36-4-1
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'6"
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamMinnesota Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Nick Diaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sean Sherk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1776
If they lose-14→ 1752
If they win+14→ 1736
If they lose-10→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nick DiazSean Sherk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Diaz73%
Sean Sherk 27%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Diaz a 73% favorite over Sean Sherk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Nick Diaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1722, a 44-point edge.
Nick Diaz enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Sean Sherk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Nick Diaz finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Sean Sherk 58%.
Nick Diaz and Sean Sherk share 2 common opponents: Georges St-Pierre and BJ Penn.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.