Nick Gibbons vs Paulo Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record0-3-0
TBDDivisionTBD
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeightTBD
Team
What's at stake
Nick Gibbons is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Paulo Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1560
If they lose-29→ 1512
If they win+29→ 1495
If they lose-19→ 1447
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nick GibbonsPaulo Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Gibbons64%
Paulo Santos 36%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Gibbons a 64% favorite over Paulo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Nick Gibbons holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1541 to 1466, a 75-point edge.
Paulo Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.