Nick Hein vs Yusuke Kasuya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record15-9-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach67.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamCrown Dojo
What's at stake
Nick Hein is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Yusuke Kasuya carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-20→ 1616
If they win+30→ 1579
If they lose-18→ 1531
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nick HeinYusuke Kasuya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yusuke Kasuya53%
Nick Hein 47%Elo baseline: 38%
The Combat Edge model makes Yusuke Kasuya a 53% favorite over Nick Hein in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Hein's way (38%).
Nick Hein holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1549, a 87-point edge.
Nick Hein enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nick Hein finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Yusuke Kasuya 93%.
Nick Hein and Yusuke Kasuya share 1 common opponent: Frank Camacho.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.