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Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Maximov vs Royce Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record15-2-3
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach--
185 lbsWeight176 lbs
Nick Diaz Academy· 1684 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamGracie Humaita

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick MaximovNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
Royce GracieNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
0.88
45%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.13
46%
Strike defense
38%
4.16
Takedown avg.
0
46%
Takedown accuracy
0%
36%
Takedown defense
67%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Nick MaximovRoyce Gracie
165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
4 (29%)
Submission
11 (73%)
6 (43%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Maximov59%
Royce Gracie 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Maximov a 59% favorite over Royce Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Royce Gracie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1725), separated by just 1 points.

Nick Maximov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Royce Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nick Maximov finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Royce Gracie 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.