Nick Maximov vs Wildemar Santos
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Nick Maximov73%
Wildemar Santos 27%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Maximov a 73% favorite over Wildemar Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Nick Maximov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1627, a 108-point edge.
Nick Maximov enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Nick Maximov finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Wildemar Santos 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record15-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
76"Reach-
185 lbsWeight201 lbs
Nick Diaz Academy· 1694 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMalhado Team
What's at stake
Nick Maximov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Wildemar Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1746
If they lose-21→ 1714
If they win+21→ 1648
If they lose-11→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nick MaximovWildemar Santos