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Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Meck vs Simeon Thoresen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Meck
us

Nick Meck

“King Black Cat”

10-4-0WelterweightFFC

1585Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record17-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Marathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFrontline Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick MeckNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Simeon ThoresenNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
Not available
Strike defense
65%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.12
Not available
Takedown accuracy
40%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Nick MeckSimeon Thoresen
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
4 (40%)
Submission
15 (88%)
5 (50%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Meck72%
Simeon Thoresen 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Meck a 72% favorite over Simeon Thoresen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.

Simeon Thoresen enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Nick Meck finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Simeon Thoresen 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.