Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Pace vs Nicolas Mandiola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick PaceNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Nicolas MandiolaNow 1589
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.48
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
2.52
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.50
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nick PaceNicolas Mandiola
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
5 (63%)
Submission
3 (60%)
2 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolas Mandiola53%
Nick Pace 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolas Mandiola a 53% favorite over Nick Pace in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Pace's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1589), separated by just 2 points.

Nick Pace enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nicolas Mandiola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nick Pace finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Mandiola 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.