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Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Pace vs Will Campuzano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record14-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Tiger SchulmannTeamCampuzano Martial Arts

What's at stake

Will Campuzano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nick Pace carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nick PaceNow 1591
If they win+17→ 1608
If they lose-15→ 1576
Will CampuzanoNow 1623
If they win+15→ 1638
If they lose-17→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.43
34%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
58%
Strike defense
57%
2.52
Takedown avg.
0.88
43%
Takedown accuracy
45%
55%
Takedown defense
48%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Nick PaceWill Campuzano
1600165020132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
5 (63%)
Submission
4 (29%)
2 (25%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Will Campuzano52%
Nick Pace 48%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Will Campuzano a 52% favorite over Nick Pace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Will Campuzano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1591, a 32-point edge.

Nick Pace enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nick Pace finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Will Campuzano 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.