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Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Penner vs Tiriel Abramović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Penner
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Nick Penner

“The Quiet Assassin”

11-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1621Solid

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record5-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach74.8"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Frank Lee's Muay ThaiTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb· 1618 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick PennerNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Tiriel AbramovićNow 1621
If they win+24→ 1645
If they lose-24→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.25
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
30%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
39%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
40%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Nick PennerTiriel Abramović
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
5 (100%)
4 (36%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (18%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tiriel Abramović55%
Nick Penner 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tiriel Abramović a 55% favorite over Nick Penner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Penner's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1621), separated by just 0 points.

Nick Penner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tiriel Abramović enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Nick Penner finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Tiriel Abramović 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.