Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Ring vs Riki Fukuda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Ring
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Nick Ring

“The Promise”

14-4-0MiddleweightHKF

1655Good

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record24-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamGrabaka

What's at stake

Riki Fukuda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nick Ring carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nick RingNow 1655
If they win+17→ 1672
If they lose-15→ 1640
Riki FukudaNow 1670
If they win+11→ 1681
If they lose-13→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.52
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
43%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.45
63%
Strike defense
64%
1.36
Takedown avg.
2.60
36%
Takedown accuracy
45%
52%
Takedown defense
70%
0.34
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nick RingRiki Fukuda
1650170020132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
12 (50%)
6 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (43%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Riki Fukuda53%
Nick Ring 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Riki Fukuda a 53% favorite over Nick Ring in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Riki Fukuda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1655, a 15-point edge.

Nick Ring finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Riki Fukuda 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.