Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Ring vs Tim Boetsch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Ring
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Nick Ring

“The Promise”

14-4-0MiddleweightHKF

1655Good
Tim Boetsch
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Tim Boetsch

“The Barbarian”

21-13-0MiddleweightUFC

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record21-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamTeam Irish

What's at stake

Nick Ring is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tim Boetsch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nick RingNow 1655
If they win+15→ 1670
If they lose-17→ 1638
Tim BoetschNow 1631
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.52
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
43%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
63%
Strike defense
57%
1.36
Takedown avg.
1.45
36%
Takedown accuracy
34%
52%
Takedown defense
59%
0.34
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Nick RingTim Boetsch
165017002013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
13 (62%)
6 (43%)
Submission
3 (14%)
6 (43%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Ring56%
Tim Boetsch 44%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Ring a 56% favorite over Tim Boetsch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Nick Ring holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1631, a 24-point edge.

Tim Boetsch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Nick Ring finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tim Boetsch 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.