Nick Rossborough vs Nicolaj Wagner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-21-1Record5-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
265 lbsWeight249 lbs
Jeremy Horn's Elite Performance GymTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512
If they win+23→ 1555
If they lose-25→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nick RossboroughNicolaj Wagner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolaj Wagner70%
Nick Rossborough 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolaj Wagner a 70% favorite over Nick Rossborough in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1532), separated by just 8 points.
Nick Rossborough enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nick Rossborough finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Nicolaj Wagner 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.