Nick Thompson vs Reginaldo Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-14-1Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'8"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Minnesota Martial Arts AcademyTeamFighting Nerds
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nick ThompsonReginaldo Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Nick Thompson and Reginaldo Junior within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1658), separated by just 1 points.
Nick Thompson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Nick Thompson finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Reginaldo Junior 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.