Nicolaj Wagner vs Tebaris Gordon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record3-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
249 lbsWeight265 lbs
TeamGym O
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1489 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nicolaj WagnerTebaris Gordon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolaj Wagner53%
Tebaris Gordon 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolaj Wagner a 53% favorite over Tebaris Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1523), separated by just 4 points.
Tebaris Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nicolaj Wagner finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tebaris Gordon 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.