Nicolas Dalby vs Peter Sobotta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-1Record17-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rumble SportsTeamPlanet Eater
What's at stake
Nicolas Dalby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Peter Sobotta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1738
If they lose-15→ 1714
If they win+15→ 1667
If they lose-9→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nicolas DalbyPeter Sobotta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolas Dalby72%
Peter Sobotta 28%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolas Dalby a 72% favorite over Peter Sobotta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Nicolas Dalby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1652, a 77-point edge.
Peter Sobotta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nicolas Dalby finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Peter Sobotta 88%.
Nicolas Dalby and Peter Sobotta share 1 common opponent: Alex Oliveira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.