Nicolas Dalby vs Randy Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-1Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"Reach78"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rumble SportsTeamBudokan Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717
If they win+12→ 1754
If they lose-12→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1728 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nicolas DalbyRandy Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Brown60%
Nicolas Dalby 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Brown a 60% favorite over Nicolas Dalby in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1729 vs 1742), separated by just 13 points.
Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nicolas Dalby finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.
Nicolas Dalby and Randy Brown share 2 common opponents: Gabriel Bonfim and Muslim Salikhov.
Randy Brown carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.