Combat Edge Intelligence

Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nicolas Dalby
dk

Nicolas Dalby

“Danish Dynamite”

24-6-1WelterweightUFC

1729 Good

Tale of the tape

24-6-1 Record 22-3-0
Welterweight Division Welterweight
5'11" Height 6'0"
74" Reach --
171 lbs Weight 170 lbs
Rumble Sports Team Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School

What's at stake

Saygid Izagakhmaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nicolas Dalby carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nicolas DalbyNow 1729
If they win+13→ 1742
If they lose-11→ 1718
Saygid IzagakhmaevNow 1754
If they win+15→ 1769
If they lose-17→ 1737

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
0
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.51
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0.90
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.08
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nicolas Dalby Saygid Izagakhmaev
1700 1750 2024 2025

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
4 (17%)
Submission
13 (59%)
13 (54%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Saygid Izagakhmaev66%
Nicolas Dalby34%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Saygid Izagakhmaev a 66% favorite over Nicolas Dalby in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Saygid Izagakhmaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1729, a 25-point edge.

Nicolas Dalby finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.