Combat Edge Intelligence

Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nicolas Dalby
dk

Nicolas Dalby

“Danish Dynamite”

24-6-1WelterweightUFC

1729Good

Tale of the tape

24-6-1Record22-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach74"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rumble SportsTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nicolas DalbyNow 1729
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717
Saygid IzagakhmaevNow 1726
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
44%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.73
52%
Strike defense
59%
0.90
Takedown avg.
4
27%
Takedown accuracy
40%
59%
Takedown defense
100%
0.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nicolas DalbySaygid Izagakhmaev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
4 (17%)
Submission
13 (59%)
13 (54%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Saygid Izagakhmaev60%
Nicolas Dalby 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Saygid Izagakhmaev a 60% favorite over Nicolas Dalby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nicolas Dalby's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1729 vs 1726), separated by just 3 points.

Saygid Izagakhmaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nicolas Dalby finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.