Nicolas Mandiola vs Nohelin Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach71,0"
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kiltros CrewTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nicolas MandiolaNohelin Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolas Mandiola53%
Nohelin Hernandez 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolas Mandiola a 53% favorite over Nohelin Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1589), separated by just 0 points.
Nicolas Mandiola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nicolas Mandiola finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nohelin Hernandez 25%.
Nicolas Mandiola and Nohelin Hernandez share 1 common opponent: Eduardo Torres.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossTKO (Punches) · 2025
Win Decision · 2021