Nicolle Caliari vs Pearl Gonzalez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record11-6-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'4"
62"Reach38,0"
116 lbsWeight125 lbs
Thai BrasilTeam10th Planet San Diego
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nicolle CaliariPearl Gonzalez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolle Caliari61%
Pearl Gonzalez 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolle Caliari a 61% favorite over Pearl Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.
Nicolle Caliari finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Pearl Gonzalez 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.