Nicolle Caliari vs Rayanne dos Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record14-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
62"Reach62"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Thai Brasil· 1663 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMarajo Brothers
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nicolle CaliariRayanne dos Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolle Caliari62%
Rayanne dos Santos 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolle Caliari a 62% favorite over Rayanne dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rayanne dos Santos's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1599), separated by just 4 points.
Nicolle Caliari finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rayanne dos Santos 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.