Nicolle Caliari vs Sophie Lang
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Nicolle Caliari56%
Sophie Lang 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolle Caliari a 56% favorite over Sophie Lang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1582), separated by just 2 points.
Sophie Lang enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Nicolle Caliari finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sophie Lang 67%.
Sophie Lang carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record3-0-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
62"Reach63.5"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Thai Brasil· 1652 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRed Hawk Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nicolle CaliariSophie Lang